Strategies, a starter
Home favourites
A home win when the home side usually wins at home and the away side usually loses away.
Sign in first (free), then you’re straight back here, following it.
Won
78in every 100
Backing every match: 69. From 639 past bets.
Against the market
–
Not yet: it needs odds from before kickoff, and Betworth’s odds history is new.
This week
13bets
In the next 7 days. See them below.
Since it was saved
8bets
6 won, 2 lost, since 19 Oct 2026.
What the numbers say
- Over 4 seasons this would have found 639 bets, and 498 won: 78 in every 100.
- Backing the home win in every match won 69 in every 100, so its conditions picked better than backing everything.
- There are no odds from before kickoff for these bets yet, so we can’t say whether it beat the market.
From past seasons, using only what was known before each kickoff. Past results don’t make future ones more likely.
This week
The bets it finds in matches over the next 7 days, from the stats as they stand now.
Fri 30 Oct, 19:45, Premiership Rugby
BristolvLeicester TigersWhy: Win rate: Bristol 70%, Leicester Tigers 40%
No odds yetFri 30 Oct, 19:45, United Rugby Championship
Glasgow WarriorsvLionsWhy: Win rate: Glasgow Warriors 70%, Lions 0%
No odds yet- No odds yet
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00, Premiership Rugby
Exeter ChiefsvHarlequinsWhy: Win rate: Exeter Chiefs 70%, Harlequins 30%
No odds yetSat 31 Oct, 15:00, Premiership Rugby
SaracensvNewcastle Red BullsWhy: Win rate: Saracens 70%, Newcastle Red Bulls 0%
No odds yet- No odds yet
- No odds yet
Sat 31 Oct, 15:35, Top 14
MontpelliervCastres OlympiqueWhy: Win rate: Montpellier 90%, Castres Olympique 10%
No odds yetSat 31 Oct, 15:35, Top 14
Bordeaux BeglesvAviron BayonnaisWhy: Win rate: Bordeaux Begles 80%, Aviron Bayonnais 20%
No odds yetSat 31 Oct, 17:30, Premiership Rugby
Northampton SaintsvGloucesterWhy: Win rate: Northampton Saints 100%, Gloucester 20%
No odds yet- No odds yet
Sat 31 Oct, 19:45, United Rugby Championship
OspreysvCardiff RugbyWhy: Win rate: Ospreys 70%, Cardiff Rugby 20%
No odds yetSat 31 Oct, 20:00, Top 14
USA PerpignanvRC ToulonnaisWhy: Win rate: USA Perpignan 80%, RC Toulonnais 20%
No odds yet
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How it did over past seasons
Using only what was known before each match, up to when it was saved.
639 bets from 1,377 played matches between 18 Aug 2023 and 19 Oct 2026: 498 won, 141 lost.
Break-even odds 1.28: at this win rate, backing it at those odds would neither win nor lose.
Against the market
Not yet. This compares how often its bets won with the chance the fair odds gave them before kickoff, and Betworth’s own odds history only starts on 9 Aug 2024, so none of these bets has any.
| Season | Bets | Won | Won, of 100 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | 145 | 111 | 76.6% |
| 2024-25 | 222 | 184 | 82.9% |
| 2025-26 | 242 | 182 | 75.2% |
| 2026-27 | 30 | 21 | 70% |
This shows how these conditions would have done in past matches, using only what was known before each kickoff. It isn’t a prediction, and past results don’t make future ones more likely.
Since it was saved
The bets it has found since it was saved, each recorded before kickoff and never changed.
8 bets since it was saved on 19 Oct 2026: 6 won, 2 lost.
Too few to judge: 8 settled, under the 30 it takes. Over the same stretch, backing home win in every match won 75%.
- Sun 25 Oct, 20:05Stade Rochelais 19-25 Bordeaux BeglesSun 25 Oct, 20:05. Recorded Sun 25 Oct, 17:15. Win rate: Stade Rochelais 70%, Bordeaux Begles 40%.Lost
- Sat 24 Oct, 19:45Ospreys 31-14 DragonsSat 24 Oct, 19:45. Recorded Sat 24 Oct, 16:45. Win rate: Ospreys 70%, Dragons 10%.Won
- Sat 24 Oct, 18:00Leinster 24-18 MunsterSat 24 Oct, 18:00. Recorded Sat 24 Oct, 15:00. Win rate: Leinster 90%, Munster 20%.Won
- Sat 24 Oct, 17:30Bristol 20-7 Exeter ChiefsSat 24 Oct, 17:30. Recorded Sat 24 Oct, 14:30. Win rate: Bristol 70%, Exeter Chiefs 40%.Won
- Sat 24 Oct, 15:35Stade Toulousain 38-33 USA PerpignanSat 24 Oct, 15:35. Recorded Sat 24 Oct, 12:45. Win rate: Stade Toulousain 90%, USA Perpignan 10%.Won
- Sat 24 Oct, 15:00Stormers 52-40 ScarletsSat 24 Oct, 15:00. Recorded Sat 24 Oct, 12:00. Win rate: Stormers 80%, Scarlets 10%.Won
- Sat 24 Oct, 12:45Bulls 34-26 UlsterSat 24 Oct, 12:45. Recorded Sat 24 Oct, 09:45. Win rate: Bulls 70%, Ulster 40%.Won
- Fri 23 Oct, 19:45Cardiff Rugby 21-36 SharksFri 23 Oct, 19:45. Recorded Fri 23 Oct, 16:45. Win rate: Cardiff Rugby 90%, Sharks 20%.Lost
Kept apart from how it did over past seasons. Changing what it looks for starts a fresh record from then on.
Its latest bets
The most recent bets from its past-seasons test, with what each condition read before kickoff.
- 11 Oct 2026Stade Toulousain 45–34 Aviron BayonnaisWin rate: Stade Toulousain 90%, Aviron Bayonnais 20%Won
- 11 Oct 2026Exeter Chiefs 34–28 Newcastle Red BullsWin rate: Exeter Chiefs 70%, Newcastle Red Bulls 0%Won
- 10 Oct 2026Leinster 29–5 Cardiff RugbyWin rate: Leinster 90%, Cardiff Rugby 40%Won
- 10 Oct 2026USA Perpignan 21–12 VannesWin rate: USA Perpignan 80%, Vannes 20%Won
- 10 Oct 2026Section Paloise 35–26 Castres OlympiqueWin rate: Section Paloise 80%, Castres Olympique 20%Won
- 10 Oct 2026Stormers 39–22 SharksWin rate: Stormers 80%, Sharks 20%Won
- 9 Oct 2026Leicester Tigers 38–31 GloucesterWin rate: Leicester Tigers 70%, Gloucester 20%Won
- 4 Oct 2026Montpellier 28–0 RC ToulonnaisWin rate: Montpellier 90%, RC Toulonnais 20%Won
- 4 Oct 2026Saracens 17–21 Sale SharksWin rate: Saracens 70%, Sale Sharks 30%Lost
- 3 Oct 2026Glasgow Warriors 33–33 UlsterWin rate: Glasgow Warriors 80%, Ulster 40%Lost
- 3 Oct 2026Racing 92 55–25 USA PerpignanWin rate: Racing 92 70%, USA Perpignan 10%Won
- 3 Oct 2026Bordeaux Begles 51–28 LyonWin rate: Bordeaux Begles 80%, Lyon 30%Won