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See whether a bet is worth it before you place it

Betworth is research, not a bookmaker: the form, the fair odds and every bookmaker’s odds in one place, and a way to test your ideas on past seasons. Four things to know:

Strategies, a starter

Points galore

Over 45.5 points when both sides’ recent matches have averaged 50 points or more.

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Won

70in every 100

Backing every match: 62. From 498 past bets.

Against the market

–

Not yet: it needs odds from before kickoff, and Betworth’s odds history is new.

This week

11bets

In the next 7 days. See them below.

Since it was saved

10bets

5 won, 5 lost, since 19 Oct 2026.

What the numbers say

  • Over 4 seasons this would have found 498 bets, and 348 won: 70 in every 100.
  • Backing over 45.5 points in every match won 62 in every 100, so its conditions picked better than backing everything.
  • There are no odds from before kickoff for these bets yet, so we can’t say whether it beat the market.

From past seasons, using only what was known before each kickoff. Past results don’t make future ones more likely.

This week

The bets it finds in matches over the next 7 days, from the stats as they stand now.

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How it did over past seasons

Using only what was known before each match, up to when it was saved.

498 bets from 1,377 played matches between 18 Aug 2023 and 19 Oct 2026: 348 won, 150 lost.

Won
348 of 498 settled
69.9%
Backing every match
Over 45.5 points, every match in scope
62.5%

Break-even odds 1.43: at this win rate, backing it at those odds would neither win nor lose.

Against the market

Not yet. This compares how often its bets won with the chance the fair odds gave them before kickoff, and Betworth’s own odds history only starts on 9 Aug 2024, so none of these bets has any.

SeasonBetsWonWon, of 100
2023-24654163.1%
2024-2515110368.2%
2025-2623116772.3%
2026-27513772.6%

This shows how these conditions would have done in past matches, using only what was known before each kickoff. It isn’t a prediction, and past results don’t make future ones more likely.

Since it was saved

The bets it has found since it was saved, each recorded before kickoff and never changed.

10 bets since it was saved on 19 Oct 2026: 5 won, 5 lost.

Too few to judge: 10 settled, under the 30 it takes. Over the same stretch, backing over 45.5 points in every match won 45%.

  • Harlequins 33-15 SaracensSun 25 Oct, 15:00. Recorded Sun 25 Oct, 12:00. Total points: Harlequins 51, Saracens 56.Won
  • Ospreys 31-14 DragonsSat 24 Oct, 19:45. Recorded Sat 24 Oct, 16:45. Total points: Ospreys 63, Dragons 56.Lost
  • Bristol 20-7 Exeter ChiefsSat 24 Oct, 17:30. Recorded Sat 24 Oct, 14:30. Total points: Bristol 56, Exeter Chiefs 66.Lost
  • Stade Toulousain 38-33 USA PerpignanSat 24 Oct, 15:35. Recorded Sat 24 Oct, 12:45. Total points: Stade Toulousain 57, USA Perpignan 62.Won
  • Aviron Bayonnais 27-31 LyonSat 24 Oct, 15:35. Recorded Sat 24 Oct, 12:45. Total points: Aviron Bayonnais 70, Lyon 64.Won
  • Leicester Tigers 28-7 Northampton SaintsSat 24 Oct, 15:05. Recorded Sat 24 Oct, 12:15. Total points: Leicester Tigers 65, Northampton Saints 71.Lost
  • Bulls 34-26 UlsterSat 24 Oct, 12:45. Recorded Sat 24 Oct, 09:45. Total points: Bulls 66, Ulster 61.Won
  • Gloucester 23-5 BathFri 23 Oct, 19:45. Recorded Fri 23 Oct, 16:45. Total points: Gloucester 67, Bath 68.Lost
  • Newcastle Red Bulls 17-3 Sale SharksFri 23 Oct, 19:45. Recorded Fri 23 Oct, 16:45. Total points: Newcastle Red Bulls 70, Sale Sharks 55.Lost
  • Connacht 48-27 ZebreFri 23 Oct, 19:45. Recorded Fri 23 Oct, 16:45. Total points: Connacht 55, Zebre 63.Won

Kept apart from how it did over past seasons. Changing what it looks for starts a fresh record from then on.

Its latest bets

The most recent bets from its past-seasons test, with what each condition read before kickoff.