Premier League, round 9, Saturday, 31 October 2026, 15:00 UK time
Manchester CityvBrighton & Hove Albion
What the numbers say
- The market makes Manchester City clear favourites: a 56% chance, against 21% for Brighton & Hove Albion, the draw 22%.
- Manchester City have won 4 of their last 5 at home; Brighton & Hove Albion have won 2 of their last 5 away.
- 4 of Manchester City’s last 5 home games had over 2.5 goals, and 2 of Brighton & Hove Albion’s last 5 away games did. 3 of their last 4 meetings went over.
- Missing: Antoine Semenyo (Manchester City), Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton & Hove Albion), Evan Ferguson (Brighton & Hove Albion) and 3 more.
- The best odds on the draw are better than fair.
Worked out from the stats as they stood before kickoff and the odds now. It isn’t a tip: what you back is up to you.
- Manchester City at home, last 5
- 4 won. 2.4 scored, 1.6 conceded
- Brighton & Hove Albion away, last 5
- 2 won. 2.0 scored, 1.4 conceded
- Over 2.5 goals, last 5
- Manchester City home 80%, Brighton & Hove Albion away 40%
- Head-to-Head, last 4
- Manchester City won 0, Brighton & Hove Albion 2, 2 drawn. 3 of 4 over 2.5
- Missing
- Antoine Semenyo, Kaoru Mitoma and 4 more
Odds
Every bookmaker we track in the UK, and the best odds, whoever offers them. Fair odds are what the whole market says each bet is worth, with the bookmakers’ margin taken out.
| Bet | Fair odds | Best odds | Casumo | Grosvenor | LeoVegas | Matchbook | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 1.77 56% | 1.70Below fair | 1.70 | 1.67 | 1.62 | 1.70 | 1.67 |
| Draw | 4.50 22% | 4.80Better than fair, +7%before commission | 4.35 | 4.20 | 4.20 | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 4.67 21% | 4.70About fair | 4.60 | 4.40 | 4.40 | 4.70 | 4.33 |
| Over 2.5 | – | 1.50 | – | – | – | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 | – | 2.84 | – | – | – | 2.84 | 2.62 |
| Over 3.5 | 2.48 40% | 2.32Below fair | 2.32 | 2.32 | 2.10 | – | – |
| Under 3.5 | 1.68 60% | 1.68About fair | 1.57 | 1.57 | 1.68 | – | – |
Fair odds Best odds
Manchester City1.7756%1.70Below fair
- BetfairBest1.70
- Betfred (UK)Best1.70
- CasumoBest1.70
- CoralBest1.70
- MatchbookBest1.70
- Smarkets1.69
- 888sport1.67
- Betfair Sportsbook1.67
- Grosvenor1.67
- Ladbrokes1.67
- Paddy Power1.67
- Sky Bet1.67
- William Hill1.67
- Bet Victor1.65
- Betano (UK)1.65
- LiveScore Bet1.65
- Unibet (UK)1.65
- Virgin Bet1.65
- BoyleSports1.62
- LeoVegas1.62
- Betway1.61
Draw4.5022%4.80Better than fair
- BetfairBest4.80
- MatchbookBest4.80
- Smarkets4.70
- Casumo4.35
- Betfred (UK)4.33
- Betway4.33
- Coral4.33
- Unibet (UK)4.25
- Bet Victor4.20
- Betano (UK)4.20
- Betfair Sportsbook4.20
- BoyleSports4.20
- Grosvenor4.20
- Ladbrokes4.20
- LeoVegas4.20
- Paddy Power4.20
- Sky Bet4.20
- LiveScore Bet4.10
- Virgin Bet4.10
- 888sport4.00
- William Hill4.00
Brighton & Hove Albion4.6721%4.70About fair
- BetfairBest4.70
- MatchbookBest4.70
- Casumo4.60
- Smarkets4.60
- Unibet (UK)4.50
- Bet Victor4.40
- Betano (UK)4.40
- Grosvenor4.40
- LeoVegas4.40
- 888sport4.33
- Betfair Sportsbook4.33
- Betfred (UK)4.33
- BoyleSports4.33
- Coral4.33
- Ladbrokes4.33
- Paddy Power4.33
- Sky Bet4.33
- William Hill4.33
- LiveScore Bet4.30
- Virgin Bet4.30
- Betway4.00
Over 2.5–1.50
- MatchbookBest1.50
- William Hill1.44
Under 2.5–2.84
- MatchbookBest2.84
- William Hill2.62
Over 3.52.4840%2.32Below fair
- CasumoBest2.32
- GrosvenorBest2.32
- LeoVegas2.10
Under 3.51.6860%1.68About fair
- LeoVegasBest1.68
- Casumo1.57
- Grosvenor1.57
Outlined: the best odds in the UK, whoever offers them. Fair odds are what the market thinks each bet is worth, with the bookmakers’ margin taken out, and the chance that means. Odds 2% or more above them are better than fair. Exchange odds (Betfair, Smarkets, Matchbook) are before their commission.
Form
Their last five matches before this one, latest on the right.
How they compare
From their matches before this one. Choose the window to compare over.
Head-to-Head
Their most recent meetings in the competitions we cover.
Players
Each player’s last ten appearances before this match.
Manchester City
| Player | Mins | SoT/90 | 1+ SoT | Scored |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rúben Dias | 90 | 0.3 | 20% | 0% |
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | 90 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Erling Haaland | 89 | 2.0 | 100% | 90% |
| Marc Guéhi | 86 | 0.1 | 10% | 10% |
| Enzo Fernández | 75 | 0.8 | 60% | 30% |
| Matheus Nunes | 80 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Antoine Semenyo | 76 | 0.8 | 60% | 30% |
| Elliot Anderson | 76 | 0.1 | 10% | 0% |
| Abdukodir Khusanov | 82 | 0.2 | 20% | 0% |
| Iliman Ndiaye | 78 | 0.5 | 30% | 0% |
| Rayan Cherki | 52 | 1.0 | 40% | 30% |
Brighton & Hove Albion
| Player | Mins | SoT/90 | 1+ SoT | Scored |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bart Verbruggen | 90 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Diego Gómez | 79 | 0.8 | 50% | 10% |
| Luka Vuskovic | 89 | 0.3 | 25% | 13% |
| Pascal Groß | 88 | 0.6 | 50% | 30% |
| Maxim De Cuyper | 81 | 0.2 | 20% | 20% |
| Yasin Ayari | 61 | 0.7 | 30% | 20% |
| Lewis Dunk | 84 | 0.2 | 20% | 20% |
| Charalampos Kostoulas | 62 | 1.3 | 70% | 30% |
| Olivier Boscagli | 81 | 0.1 | 10% | 0% |
| Ferdi Kadıoğlu | 79 | 0.3 | 30% | 0% |
| José María Andrés Baixauli | 51 | 0.3 | 14% | 14% |