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See whether a bet is worth it before you place it

Betworth is research, not a bookmaker: the form, the fair odds and every bookmaker’s odds in one place, and a way to test your ideas on past seasons. Four things to know:

Strategies, a starter

Tight games

Under 2.5 goals when both teams’ recent matches have mostly had two or fewer.

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Sign in first (free), then you’re straight back here, following it.

Won

54in every 100

Backing every match: 49. From 366 past bets.

Against the market

−2.9points

Within what luck explains: it hasn’t clearly beaten the bookmakers.

This week

1bet

In the next 7 days. See them below.

Since it was saved

3bets

1 won, 2 lost, since 19 Oct 2026.

What the numbers say

  • Over 3 seasons this would have found 366 bets, and 196 won: 54 in every 100.
  • Backing under 2.5 goals in every match won 49 in every 100, so its conditions picked better than backing everything.
  • Against the market it did 3 points worse, within what luck alone could explain: it hasn’t clearly beaten the bookmakers.

From past seasons, using only what was known before each kickoff. Past results don’t make future ones more likely.

This week

The bets it finds in matches over the next 7 days, from the stats as they stand now.

  • Sat 31 Oct, 17:30, La Liga

    Real BetisvMálaga

    Why: Over 2.5 goals: Real Betis 40%, Málaga 30%

    Best odds

    2.50

    William Hill

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Real Betis v Málaga, Sat 31 Oct, 17:30

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How it did over past seasons

Using only what was known before each match, up to when it was saved.

366 bets from 2,923 played matches between 9 Aug 2024 and 19 Oct 2026: 196 won, 170 lost.

Won
196 of 366 settled
53.6%
Backing every match
Under 2.5 goals, every match in scope
48.9%

Break-even odds 1.87: at this win rate, backing it at those odds would neither win nor lose.

Against the market

−2.9 points: these bets won 51.7%, where the fair odds at kickoff gave them 54.7%. From 317 bets with odds before kickoff.

SeasonBetsWonWon, of 100
2024-2519711759.4%
2025-261587346.2%
2026-2711654.6% (few)

This shows how these conditions would have done in past matches, using only what was known before each kickoff. It isn’t a prediction, and past results don’t make future ones more likely.

Since it was saved

The bets it has found since it was saved, each recorded before kickoff and never changed.

3 bets since it was saved on 19 Oct 2026: 1 won, 2 lost.

Too few to judge: 3 settled, under the 30 it takes. Over the same stretch, backing under 2.5 goals in every match won 54.3%. Against the market: too few to judge, 3 with fair odds at kickoff.

  • Sunderland 0-0 Leeds UnitedSun 25 Oct, 16:30. Recorded Sun 25 Oct, 13:30. Over 2.5 goals: Sunderland 40%, Leeds United 30%. Best odds then 1.73.Won
  • Manchester United 0-3 AFC BournemouthSun 25 Oct, 14:00. Recorded Sun 25 Oct, 11:00. Over 2.5 goals: Manchester United 40%, AFC Bournemouth 40%. Best odds then 2.17.Lost
  • Athletic Club 4-0 GetafeSun 25 Oct, 13:00. Recorded Sun 25 Oct, 10:00. Over 2.5 goals: Athletic Club 40%, Getafe 20%. Best odds then 1.70.Lost

Kept apart from how it did over past seasons. Changing what it looks for starts a fresh record from then on.

Its latest bets

The most recent bets from its past-seasons test, with what each condition read before kickoff.