Premier League, round 10, Saturday, 7 November 2026, 17:30 UK time
Nottingham ForestvManchester City
What the numbers say
- The market makes Manchester City clear favourites: a 56% chance, against 21% for Nottingham Forest, the draw 23%.
- Nottingham Forest haven’t won any of their last 5 at home; Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5 away.
- None of Nottingham Forest’s last 5 home games had over 2.5 goals, and 3 of Manchester City’s last 5 away games did. 3 of their last 4 meetings went over.
- No injuries or suspensions are reported for either side.
- None of the best odds on the result are better than fair right now.
Worked out from the stats as they stood before kickoff and the odds now. It isn’t a tip: what you back is up to you.
- Nottingham Forest at home, last 5
- 0 won. 0.2 scored, 0.8 conceded
- Manchester City away, last 5
- 3 won. 2.0 scored, 0.8 conceded
- Over 2.5 goals, last 5
- Nottingham Forest home 0%, Manchester City away 60%
- Head-to-Head, last 4
- Nottingham Forest won 1, Manchester City 2, 1 drawn. 3 of 4 over 2.5
- Missing
- None reported
Odds
Every bookmaker we track in the UK, and the best odds, whoever offers them. Fair odds are what the whole market says each bet is worth, with the bookmakers’ margin taken out.
| Bet | Fair odds | Best odds | LeoVegas | William Hill | 888sport | Bet Victor | Betano (UK) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 4.81 21% | 4.90About fair | 4.30 | 4.40 | 4.33 | 4.50 | 4.50 |
| Draw | 4.31 23% | 4.30About fair | 3.90 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| Manchester City | 1.78 56% | 1.70Below fair | 1.67 | 1.70 | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 | – | 1.57 | 1.57 | 1.57 | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 | – | 2.30 | 2.20 | 2.30 | – | – | – |
Fair odds Best odds
Nottingham Forest4.8121%4.90About fair
- BetfairBest4.90
- Smarkets4.80
- Paddy Power4.75
- Sky Bet4.75
- Betfred (UK)4.60
- Bet Victor4.50
- Betano (UK)4.50
- William Hill4.40
- Unibet (UK)4.35
- 888sport4.33
- Betway4.33
- LeoVegas4.30
Draw4.3123%4.30About fair
- BetfairBest4.30
- Betfred (UK)4.20
- Paddy Power4.20
- Smarkets4.20
- 888sport4.00
- Bet Victor4.00
- Betano (UK)4.00
- Betway4.00
- Sky Bet4.00
- Unibet (UK)4.00
- William Hill4.00
- LeoVegas3.90
Manchester City1.7856%1.70Below fair
- BetfairBest1.70
- William HillBest1.70
- Smarkets1.68
- 888sport1.67
- Bet Victor1.67
- Betano (UK)1.67
- Betfred (UK)1.67
- Betway1.67
- LeoVegas1.67
- Unibet (UK)1.67
- Paddy Power1.62
- Sky Bet1.62
Over 2.5–1.57
- LeoVegasBest1.57
- William HillBest1.57
Under 2.5–2.30
- William HillBest2.30
- LeoVegas2.20
Outlined: the best odds in the UK, whoever offers them. Fair odds are what the market thinks each bet is worth, with the bookmakers’ margin taken out, and the chance that means. Odds 2% or more above them are better than fair. Exchange odds (Betfair, Smarkets, Matchbook) are before their commission.
Form
Their last five matches before this one, latest on the right.
How they compare
From their matches before this one. Choose the window to compare over.
Head-to-Head
Their most recent meetings in the competitions we cover.
Players
Each player’s last ten appearances before this match.
Nottingham Forest
| Player | Mins | SoT/90 | 1+ SoT | Scored |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murillo | 85 | 0.4 | 30% | 0% |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 83 | 0.9 | 60% | 30% |
| Matz Sels | 90 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Nikola Milenković | 85 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Jair Cunha | 74 | 0.2 | 20% | 0% |
| Neco Williams | 89 | 0.3 | 30% | 10% |
| Daniel Muñoz | 75 | 0.5 | 40% | 0% |
| Liam Delap | 67 | 0.4 | 30% | 10% |
| James McAtee | 70 | 0.5 | 40% | 0% |
| Xaver Schlager | 78 | 0.1 | 13% | 0% |
| Ola Aina | 84 | 0.1 | 10% | 0% |
Manchester City
| Player | Mins | SoT/90 | 1+ SoT | Scored |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rúben Dias | 90 | 0.3 | 20% | 0% |
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | 90 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Erling Haaland | 89 | 2.0 | 100% | 90% |
| Marc Guéhi | 86 | 0.1 | 10% | 10% |
| Enzo Fernández | 75 | 0.8 | 60% | 30% |
| Matheus Nunes | 80 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Antoine Semenyo | 76 | 0.8 | 60% | 30% |
| Elliot Anderson | 76 | 0.1 | 10% | 0% |
| Abdukodir Khusanov | 82 | 0.2 | 20% | 0% |
| Iliman Ndiaye | 78 | 0.5 | 30% | 0% |
| Rayan Cherki | 52 | 1.0 | 40% | 30% |