Strategies, a starter
Goals at both ends
Over 2.5 goals when both teams’ recent matches have mostly had three or more.
Sign in first (free), then you’re straight back here, following it.
Won
54in every 100
Backing every match: 51. From 476 past bets.
Against the market
−1.3points
Within what luck explains: it hasn’t clearly beaten the bookmakers.
This week
7bets
In the next 7 days. See them below.
Since it was saved
7bets
4 won, 3 lost, since 19 Oct 2026.
What the numbers say
- Over 3 seasons this would have found 476 bets, and 257 won: 54 in every 100.
- Backing over 2.5 goals in every match won 51 in every 100, so its conditions picked better than backing everything.
- Against the market it did 1.3 points worse, within what luck alone could explain: it hasn’t clearly beaten the bookmakers.
From past seasons, using only what was known before each kickoff. Past results don’t make future ones more likely.
This week
The bets it finds in matches over the next 7 days, from the stats as they stand now.
Fri 30 Oct, 20:00, Championship
Sheffield UnitedvWrexhamWhy: Over 2.5 goals: Sheffield United 70%, Wrexham 60%
Best odds
1.91
William Hill
Below fairFair odds
2.01
50% chance
Best odds
1.56
Casumo
Below fairFair odds
1.66
60% chance
Sat 31 Oct, 12:30, Championship
Stoke CityvPreston North EndWhy: Over 2.5 goals: Stoke City 60%, Preston North End 60%
Best odds
1.85
LeoVegas
Below fairFair odds
1.92
52% chance
Sat 31 Oct, 13:00, La Liga
LevantevAtlético de MadridWhy: Over 2.5 goals: Levante 70%, Atlético de Madrid 70%
Best odds
1.53
William Hill
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00, Premier League
Manchester CityvBrighton & Hove AlbionWhy: Over 2.5 goals: Manchester City 70%, Brighton & Hove Albion 60%
Best odds
1.50
Matchbook
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00, Championship
Swansea CityvBlackburn RoversWhy: Over 2.5 goals: Swansea City 60%, Blackburn Rovers 70%
Best odds
1.85
LeoVegas
Below fairFair odds
1.96
51% chance
Sun 1 Nov, 15:15, La Liga
Racing SantandervReal MadridWhy: Over 2.5 goals: Racing Santander 80%, Real Madrid 80%
Best odds
1.26
Matchbook
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How it did over past seasons
Using only what was known before each match, up to when it was saved.
476 bets from 2,923 played matches between 9 Aug 2024 and 19 Oct 2026: 257 won, 219 lost.
Break-even odds 1.85: at this win rate, backing it at those odds would neither win nor lose.
Against the market
−1.3 points: these bets won 50.9%, where the fair odds at kickoff gave them 52.1%. From 348 bets with odds before kickoff.
| Season | Bets | Won | Won, of 100 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | 190 | 110 | 57.9% |
| 2025-26 | 207 | 102 | 49.3% |
| 2026-27 | 79 | 45 | 57% |
This shows how these conditions would have done in past matches, using only what was known before each kickoff. It isn’t a prediction, and past results don’t make future ones more likely.
Since it was saved
The bets it has found since it was saved, each recorded before kickoff and never changed.
7 bets since it was saved on 19 Oct 2026: 4 won, 3 lost.
Too few to judge: 7 settled, under the 30 it takes. Over the same stretch, backing over 2.5 goals in every match won 45.7%. Against the market: too few to judge, 4 with fair odds at kickoff.
- Sun 25 Oct, 20:00FC Barcelona 1-2 Real MadridSun 25 Oct, 20:00. Recorded Sun 25 Oct, 17:00. Over 2.5 goals: FC Barcelona 90%, Real Madrid 80%. Best odds then 1.18.Won
- Sun 25 Oct, 17:30Real Sociedad 2-1 LevanteSun 25 Oct, 17:30. Recorded Sun 25 Oct, 14:30. Over 2.5 goals: Real Sociedad 70%, Levante 70%. Best odds then 1.63.Won
- Sun 25 Oct, 14:00Crystal Palace 0-2 Newcastle UnitedSun 25 Oct, 14:00. Recorded Sun 25 Oct, 11:00. Over 2.5 goals: Crystal Palace 80%, Newcastle United 60%. Best odds then 1.57.Lost
- Sat 24 Oct, 15:00Cardiff City 1-0 Birmingham CitySat 24 Oct, 15:00. Recorded Sat 24 Oct, 12:00. Over 2.5 goals: Cardiff City 70%, Birmingham City 80%. Best odds then 1.53.Lost
- Sat 24 Oct, 15:00Blackburn Rovers 2-0 WrexhamSat 24 Oct, 15:00. Recorded Sat 24 Oct, 12:00. Over 2.5 goals: Blackburn Rovers 80%, Wrexham 60%. Best odds then 2.12.Lost
- Sat 24 Oct, 12:30Aston Villa 2-1 Manchester CitySat 24 Oct, 12:30. Recorded Sat 24 Oct, 09:30. Over 2.5 goals: Aston Villa 70%, Manchester City 70%. Best odds then 1.44.Won
- Fri 23 Oct, 20:00Bolton Wanderers 1-5 MiddlesbroughFri 23 Oct, 20:00. Recorded Fri 23 Oct, 17:00. Over 2.5 goals: Bolton Wanderers 60%, Middlesbrough 70%. Best odds then 1.44.Won
Kept apart from how it did over past seasons. Changing what it looks for starts a fresh record from then on.
Its latest bets
The most recent bets from its past-seasons test, with what each condition read before kickoff.
- 18 Oct 2026Brighton & Hove Albion 5–0 Crystal PalaceOver 2.5 goals: Brighton & Hove Albion 70%, Crystal Palace 80%Won
- 17 Oct 2026Newcastle United 0–1 Aston VillaOver 2.5 goals: Newcastle United 70%, Aston Villa 80%Lost
- 17 Oct 2026Derby County 0–1 Stoke CityOver 2.5 goals: Derby County 60%, Stoke City 80%Lost
- 17 Oct 2026Southampton 0–0 Bolton WanderersOver 2.5 goals: Southampton 60%, Bolton Wanderers 70%Lost
- 17 Oct 2026Swansea City 0–1 West Ham UnitedOver 2.5 goals: Swansea City 60%, West Ham United 80%Lost
- 17 Oct 2026Manchester City 3–2 Ipswich TownOver 2.5 goals: Manchester City 70%, Ipswich Town 70%Won
- 17 Oct 2026Espanyol 0–1 Atlético de MadridOver 2.5 goals: Espanyol 60%, Atlético de Madrid 80%Lost
- 17 Oct 2026Middlesbrough 2–2 Cardiff CityOver 2.5 goals: Middlesbrough 70%, Cardiff City 60%Won
- 16 Oct 2026Burnley 1–2 Wolverhampton WanderersOver 2.5 goals: Burnley 70%, Wolverhampton Wanderers 60%Won
- 14 Oct 2026Norwich City 0–1 SouthamptonOver 2.5 goals: Norwich City 90%, Southampton 60%Lost
- 13 Oct 2026Birmingham City 4–0 Preston North EndOver 2.5 goals: Birmingham City 60%, Preston North End 70%Won
- 13 Oct 2026Stoke City 2–3 MiddlesbroughOver 2.5 goals: Stoke City 70%, Middlesbrough 60%Won