Premier League, Saturday, 31 October 2026, 12:30 UK time
ChelseavManchester United
What the numbers say
- The market leans towards Chelsea: 51% to Manchester United’s 24%, the draw 25%.
- Chelsea have won 3 of their last 5 at home; Manchester United have won 1 of their last 5 away.
- 4 of Chelsea’s last 5 home games had over 2.5 goals, and 2 of Manchester United’s last 5 away games did. 1 of their last 4 meetings went over.
- Missing: Emiliano Martínez (Chelsea), Reece James (Chelsea), Pep Chavarría (Chelsea) and 2 more.
- The best odds on Manchester United are better than fair.
Worked out from the stats as they stood before kickoff and the odds now. It isn’t a tip: what you back is up to you.
- Chelsea at home, last 5
- 3 won. 2.6 scored, 1.8 conceded
- Manchester United away, last 5
- 1 won. 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded
- Over 2.5 goals, last 5
- Chelsea home 80%, Manchester United away 40%
- Head-to-Head, last 4
- Chelsea won 1, Manchester United 2, 1 drawn. 1 of 4 over 2.5
- Missing
- Emiliano Martínez, Reece James and 3 more
| Bet | Fair odds | Best odds | Casumo | Grosvenor | LeoVegas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 1.95 51% | 1.93About fair | 1.93 | 1.88 | 1.83 |
| Draw | 4.08 25% | 4.00About fair | 3.95 | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| Manchester United | 4.15 24% | 4.40Better than fair, +6%before commission | 3.80 | 3.65 | 3.75 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.65 61% | 1.60Below fair | 1.55 | 1.55 | 1.55 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.55 39% | 2.54About fair | 2.40 | 2.40 | 2.35 |
| Over 3.5 | 2.55 39% | 2.40Below fair | 2.40 | 2.40 | 2.30 |
| Under 3.5 | 1.65 61% | 1.57Below fair | 1.55 | 1.55 | 1.57 |
Fair odds Best odds
BetFair oddsBest odds
Chelsea1.9551%1.93About fair
- CasumoBest1.93
- Betfair1.89
- Matchbook1.89
- Grosvenor1.88
- Smarkets1.88
- LiveScore Bet1.86
- Virgin Bet1.86
- William Hill1.85
- 888sport1.83
- Betfred (UK)1.83
- Coral1.83
- Ladbrokes1.83
- LeoVegas1.83
- Unibet (UK)1.83
- Betfair Sportsbook1.80
- Betway1.80
- Paddy Power1.80
- Sky Bet1.80
- Bet Victor1.75
- Betano (UK)1.75
- BoyleSports1.75
Draw4.0825%4.00About fair
- Betfred (UK)Best4.00
- Betfair3.95
- Casumo3.95
- Matchbook3.95
- Bet Victor3.90
- Betano (UK)3.90
- Coral3.90
- Ladbrokes3.90
- Smarkets3.90
- Unibet (UK)3.90
- Betway3.80
- BoyleSports3.80
- Grosvenor3.80
- LeoVegas3.80
- William Hill3.80
- 888sport3.75
- Betfair Sportsbook3.75
- LiveScore Bet3.75
- Paddy Power3.75
- Sky Bet3.75
- Virgin Bet3.75
Manchester United4.1524%4.40Better than fair
- BetfairBest4.40
- MatchbookBest4.40
- Smarkets4.30
- Betfair Sportsbook4.20
- Paddy Power4.20
- Sky Bet4.20
- Bet Victor4.00
- Betano (UK)4.00
- BoyleSports4.00
- Unibet (UK)4.00
- Coral3.90
- 888sport3.80
- Casumo3.80
- Ladbrokes3.80
- William Hill3.80
- Betfred (UK)3.75
- LeoVegas3.75
- Grosvenor3.65
- Betway3.60
- LiveScore Bet3.60
- Virgin Bet3.60
Over 2.51.6561%1.60Below fair
- MatchbookBest1.60
- Casumo1.55
- Grosvenor1.55
- LeoVegas1.55
- William Hill1.55
Under 2.52.5539%2.54About fair
- MatchbookBest2.54
- Casumo2.40
- Grosvenor2.40
- William Hill2.40
- LeoVegas2.35
Over 3.52.5539%2.40Below fair
- CasumoBest2.40
- GrosvenorBest2.40
- LeoVegas2.30
Under 3.51.6561%1.57Below fair
- LeoVegasBest1.57
- Casumo1.55
- Grosvenor1.55
Outlined: the best odds in the UK, whoever offers them. Fair odds are what the market thinks each bet is worth, with the bookmakers’ margin taken out, and the chance that means. Odds 2% or more above them are better than fair. Exchange odds (Betfair, Smarkets, Matchbook) are before their commission.