Championship, Saturday, 31 October 2026, 15:00 UK time
MillwallvDerby County
What the numbers say
- The market leans towards Millwall: 55% to Derby County’s 20%, the draw 25%.
- Millwall have won 1 of their last 5 at home; Derby County have won 1 of their last 5 away.
- 4 of Millwall’s last 5 home games had over 2.5 goals, and 2 of Derby County’s last 5 away games did. None of their last 4 meetings went over.
- Missing: Josh Coburn (Millwall), Ryan Leonard (Millwall), Tristan Crama (Millwall) and 9 more.
- The best odds on Derby County are better than fair.
Worked out from the stats as they stood before kickoff and the odds now. It isn’t a tip: what you back is up to you.
- Millwall at home, last 5
- 1 won. 1.6 scored, 1.6 conceded
- Derby County away, last 5
- 1 won. 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded
- Over 2.5 goals, last 5
- Millwall home 80%, Derby County away 40%
- Head-to-Head, last 4
- Millwall won 2, Derby County 0, 2 drawn. 0 of 4 over 2.5
- Missing
- Josh Coburn, Ryan Leonard and 10 more
| Bet | Fair odds | Best odds | Casumo | Grosvenor | LeoVegas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 1.82 55% | 1.73Below fair | 1.73 | 1.72 | 1.67 |
| Draw | 4.02 25% | 3.90Below fair | 3.70 | 3.65 | 3.80 |
| Derby County | 4.93 20% | 5.10Better than fair, +3%before commission | 4.50 | 4.40 | 4.70 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.89 53% | 1.80Below fair | 1.72 | 1.72 | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.13 47% | 2.02Below fair | 2.02 | 2.02 | 1.95 |
Fair odds Best odds
BetFair oddsBest odds
Millwall1.8255%1.73Below fair
- CasumoBest1.73
- CoralBest1.73
- LadbrokesBest1.73
- Grosvenor1.72
- Betfair1.71
- Matchbook1.71
- Virgin Bet1.71
- 888sport1.70
- Betfred (UK)1.70
- LiveScore Bet1.70
- Sky Bet1.70
- Smarkets1.70
- William Hill1.70
- Bet Victor1.67
- Betano (UK)1.67
- LeoVegas1.67
- Paddy Power1.67
- Unibet (UK)1.67
- Betway1.65
- BoyleSports1.62
Draw4.0225%3.90Below fair
- CoralBest3.90
- MatchbookBest3.90
- Betfair3.85
- Betway3.80
- BoyleSports3.80
- Ladbrokes3.80
- LeoVegas3.80
- Smarkets3.80
- Unibet (UK)3.80
- Sky Bet3.75
- Bet Victor3.70
- Betano (UK)3.70
- Casumo3.70
- Paddy Power3.70
- Grosvenor3.65
- Virgin Bet3.65
- 888sport3.60
- Betfred (UK)3.60
- LiveScore Bet3.60
- William Hill3.60
Derby County4.9320%5.10Better than fair
- BetfairBest5.10
- Smarkets5.00
- Matchbook4.90
- Unibet (UK)4.75
- LeoVegas4.70
- 888sport4.60
- Bet Victor4.60
- Betano (UK)4.60
- William Hill4.60
- Betway4.50
- BoyleSports4.50
- Casumo4.50
- Coral4.50
- Ladbrokes4.50
- Paddy Power4.50
- Sky Bet4.50
- Grosvenor4.40
- Virgin Bet4.35
- Betfred (UK)4.33
- LiveScore Bet4.30
Over 2.51.8953%1.80Below fair
- LeoVegasBest1.80
- William HillBest1.80
- Casumo1.72
- Grosvenor1.72
Under 2.52.1347%2.02Below fair
- CasumoBest2.02
- GrosvenorBest2.02
- LeoVegas1.95
- William Hill1.95
Outlined: the best odds in the UK, whoever offers them. Fair odds are what the market thinks each bet is worth, with the bookmakers’ margin taken out, and the chance that means. Odds 2% or more above them are better than fair. Exchange odds (Betfair, Smarkets, Matchbook) are before their commission.