Premier League, Saturday, 31 October 2026, 15:00 UK time
Manchester CityvBrighton & Hove Albion
What the numbers say
- The market makes Manchester City clear favourites: a 56% chance, against 21% for Brighton & Hove Albion, the draw 22%.
- Manchester City have won 4 of their last 5 at home; Brighton & Hove Albion have won 2 of their last 5 away.
- 4 of Manchester City’s last 5 home games had over 2.5 goals, and 2 of Brighton & Hove Albion’s last 5 away games did. 3 of their last 4 meetings went over.
- Missing: Antoine Semenyo (Manchester City), Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton & Hove Albion), Evan Ferguson (Brighton & Hove Albion) and 2 more.
- The best odds on the draw are better than fair.
Worked out from the stats as they stood before kickoff and the odds now. It isn’t a tip: what you back is up to you.
- Manchester City at home, last 5
- 4 won. 2.4 scored, 1.6 conceded
- Brighton & Hove Albion away, last 5
- 2 won. 2.0 scored, 1.4 conceded
- Over 2.5 goals, last 5
- Manchester City home 80%, Brighton & Hove Albion away 40%
- Head-to-Head, last 4
- Manchester City won 0, Brighton & Hove Albion 2, 2 drawn. 3 of 4 over 2.5
- Missing
- Antoine Semenyo, Kaoru Mitoma and 3 more
| Bet | Fair odds | Best odds | Casumo | Grosvenor | LeoVegas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 1.77 56% | 1.70Below fair | 1.70 | 1.67 | 1.62 |
| Draw | 4.50 22% | 4.80Better than fair, +7%before commission | 4.35 | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 4.67 21% | 4.70About fair | 4.60 | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| Over 2.5 | – | 1.50 | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 | – | 2.84 | – | – | – |
| Over 3.5 | 2.48 40% | 2.32Below fair | 2.32 | 2.32 | 2.10 |
| Under 3.5 | 1.68 60% | 1.68About fair | 1.57 | 1.57 | 1.68 |
Fair odds Best odds
BetFair oddsBest odds
Manchester City1.7756%1.70Below fair
- BetfairBest1.70
- Betfred (UK)Best1.70
- CasumoBest1.70
- CoralBest1.70
- MatchbookBest1.70
- Smarkets1.69
- 888sport1.67
- Betfair Sportsbook1.67
- Grosvenor1.67
- Ladbrokes1.67
- Paddy Power1.67
- Sky Bet1.67
- William Hill1.67
- Bet Victor1.65
- Betano (UK)1.65
- LiveScore Bet1.65
- Unibet (UK)1.65
- Virgin Bet1.65
- BoyleSports1.62
- LeoVegas1.62
- Betway1.61
Draw4.5022%4.80Better than fair
- BetfairBest4.80
- MatchbookBest4.80
- Smarkets4.70
- Casumo4.35
- Betfred (UK)4.33
- Betway4.33
- Coral4.33
- Unibet (UK)4.25
- Bet Victor4.20
- Betano (UK)4.20
- Betfair Sportsbook4.20
- BoyleSports4.20
- Grosvenor4.20
- Ladbrokes4.20
- LeoVegas4.20
- Paddy Power4.20
- Sky Bet4.20
- LiveScore Bet4.10
- Virgin Bet4.10
- 888sport4.00
- William Hill4.00
Brighton & Hove Albion4.6721%4.70About fair
- BetfairBest4.70
- MatchbookBest4.70
- Casumo4.60
- Smarkets4.60
- Unibet (UK)4.50
- Bet Victor4.40
- Betano (UK)4.40
- Grosvenor4.40
- LeoVegas4.40
- 888sport4.33
- Betfair Sportsbook4.33
- Betfred (UK)4.33
- BoyleSports4.33
- Coral4.33
- Ladbrokes4.33
- Paddy Power4.33
- Sky Bet4.33
- William Hill4.33
- LiveScore Bet4.30
- Virgin Bet4.30
- Betway4.00
Over 2.5–1.50
- MatchbookBest1.50
- William Hill1.44
Under 2.5–2.84
- MatchbookBest2.84
- William Hill2.62
Over 3.52.4840%2.32Below fair
- CasumoBest2.32
- GrosvenorBest2.32
- LeoVegas2.10
Under 3.51.6860%1.68About fair
- LeoVegasBest1.68
- Casumo1.57
- Grosvenor1.57
Outlined: the best odds in the UK, whoever offers them. Fair odds are what the market thinks each bet is worth, with the bookmakers’ margin taken out, and the chance that means. Odds 2% or more above them are better than fair. Exchange odds (Betfair, Smarkets, Matchbook) are before their commission.